Geopolitical turmoil in Iran has severely disrupted global oil markets in recent weeks. The conflict has affected Iran's oil production and shut down a critical shipping channel. As a result, gas prices across the United States have surged significantly. The national average has reached $3.58 per gallon, rising over 50 cents in just one month.

According to Edmunds, consumer interest in electrified vehicles has risen sharply. Searches for hybrids and full EVs climbed from 20.7% to 22.4% during the week of March 2. Most of that uptick was driven by searches for fully electric models specifically. This pattern mirrors the 2022 oil spike caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

However, switching vehicles today is considerably more expensive than it was in 2022. The average new vehicle transaction price reached $48,766 in February 2026. Meanwhile, the average loan rate climbed from 4.4% to 7.0%, pushing monthly payments to $775. Had affordable EV options been more widely available, the market could have responded more effectively.

Despite these affordability constraints, the used EV market may offer a viable alternative. Battery electric vehicles are projected to represent 8% of lease returns in 2026, up from 2%. This growing supply of off-lease vehicles could provide budget-conscious shoppers with accessible options. If gas prices remain elevated, demand for both new and used EVs is expected to grow.